PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
stuttig0x39dec86bf03744359f839071cdd9a7d1adce7a1dhi774crogerveer
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (24–3, n=27)57% (3351–2542, n=5893)47% (20–23, n=43)
Consensus PnL—$11K$195K-$14K
Tracked asPM monthly #491was PM monthly #999PM monthly #112was PM monthly #859
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 77¢, ROI +23%84% of 25 at avg 61¢, ROI +19%100% of 3066 at avg 48¢, ROI +48%95% of 22 at avg 56¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢0%12% (won 67% of 3)7% (won 100% of 226)0%
Entries 30–50¢0%16% (won 75% of 4)55% (won 100% of 1675)23% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢0%40% (won 90% of 10)32% (won 100% of 967)68% (won 93% of 15)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 1)32% (won 88% of 8)6% (won 99% of 198)9% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.