PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
stuttighi774c0xdeff55f3132a313985035c34539e94da7b9178f8
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (3347–2538, n=5885)95% (246–12, n=258)
Consensus PnL—$194K$128K
Tracked asPM monthly #490PM monthly #114PM monthly #623
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 77¢, ROI +23%100% of 3066 at avg 48¢, ROI +48%97% of 304 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢0%7% (won 100% of 226)6% (won 83% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢0%55% (won 100% of 1675)29% (won 97% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢0%32% (won 100% of 967)63% (won 98% of 190)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 99% of 198)3% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.