← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| stuttig | LonnieHawkins | hedgevaultmainnet1 | Creamethod | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 49% (1265–1326, n=2591) | 57% (1799–1380, n=3179) | 67% (6–3, n=9) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $331K | $196K | $13K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #491 | PM monthly #114 | PM monthly #589 | was PM monthly #639 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 45% (10 of 22 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1 at avg 77¢, ROI +23% | 77% of 1140 at avg 66¢, ROI +8% | 95% of 1206 at avg 66¢, ROI +19% | 70% of 10 at avg 51¢, ROI +39% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 16% (won 31% of 184) | 7% (won 64% of 88) | 30% (won 67% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 13% (won 60% of 146) | 15% (won 91% of 184) | 20% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 17% (won 77% of 192) | 27% (won 96% of 331) | 10% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 54% (won 94% of 618) | 50% (won 100% of 603) | 40% (won 75% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.