PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
stuttigLonnieHawkinshedgevaultmainnet1eschaworldchampion2026
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1265–1326, n=2591)57% (1799–1380, n=3179)47% (15–17, n=32)
Consensus PnL—$331K$196K$927K
Tracked asPM monthly #491PM monthly #114PM monthly #589PM monthly #382
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)45% (10 of 22 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +11 pts n=1124, ROI +8%
  • NHL +8 pts n=15, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +29 pts n=1149, ROI +20%
  • NFL +31 pts n=25, ROI +23%
  • NBA +29 pts n=26, ROI +12%
  • NBA +9 pts n=66, ROI −3%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 77¢, ROI +23%77% of 1140 at avg 66¢, ROI +8%95% of 1206 at avg 66¢, ROI +19%51% of 74 at avg 40¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢0%16% (won 31% of 184)7% (won 64% of 88)32% (won 33% of 24)
Entries 30–50¢0%13% (won 60% of 146)15% (won 91% of 184)39% (won 55% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢0%17% (won 77% of 192)27% (won 96% of 331)23% (won 59% of 17)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 1)54% (won 94% of 618)50% (won 100% of 603)5% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.