PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
stringXX0xb46ac9ec39dbb68d76ab82aa16ddae7c400717fcdiceking
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (1–1, n=2)59% (228–160, n=388)
Consensus PnL—$149$68K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #977was PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #957
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +39 pts n=11, ROI +36%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=13, ROI +49%
  • MLB +27 pts n=17, ROI −3%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won79% of 76 at avg 53¢, ROI +24%50% of 2 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%62% of 360 at avg 51¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 57% of 7)50% (won 0% of 1)1% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 80% of 20)0%25% (won 54% of 89)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 76% of 37)0%74% (won 66% of 266)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 100% of 12)50% (won 100% of 1)0% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.