← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| hoodquant | humbleboy | NiNo999 | Bonereaper | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 95% (19883–991, n=20874) | 67% (386–194, n=580) | 89% (448–56, n=504) | 82% (29047–6417, n=35464) |
| Consensus PnL | $18K | $172K | $9.6M | $8.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #584 | PM monthly #256 | was PM monthly #985 | PM monthly #234 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 38% (3 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 12257 at avg 98¢, ROI +1% | 69% of 615 at avg 51¢, ROI +21% | 90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 26166 at avg 65¢, ROI +26% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 15% of 26) | 5% (won 47% of 30) | 7% (won 81% of 37) | 4% (won 79% of 981) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 28% of 78) | 42% (won 60% of 256) | 39% (won 85% of 197) | 17% (won 95% of 4468) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 54% of 94) | 45% (won 75% of 279) | 49% (won 94% of 244) | 37% (won 98% of 9713) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 98% (won 99% of 12059) | 8% (won 92% of 50) | 5% (won 96% of 24) | 42% (won 100% of 11004) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.