PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)95% (9567–509, n=10076)92% (701–62, n=763)95% (1939–95, n=2034)
Consensus PnL$34K$14.4M$36.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #985was PM monthly #999PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +45 pts n=5979, ROI +46%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 5979 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%99% of 731 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%100% of 1652 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 45% of 65)2% (won 100% of 14)1% (won 100% of 24)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 98% of 885)15% (won 97% of 113)41% (won 100% of 670)
Entries 50–70¢78% (won 100% of 4649)65% (won 99% of 477)49% (won 100% of 805)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 96% of 380)17% (won 100% of 127)9% (won 100% of 153)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.