PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
solanaenjoyer0xef81a375c9a02906780e3b8241145ea10ee7222duninformedflowwPatienceCapital
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (2–2, n=4)66% (16430–8405, n=24835)47% (40–46, n=86)
Consensus PnL—$249$31K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #974was PM monthly #995PM monthly #432was PM monthly #269
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position50% (2 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +8 pts n=216, ROI +6%
  • MLB +10 pts n=57, ROI +6%
  • NBA +16 pts n=12, ROI +15%
none with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +46 pts n=24, ROI +43%
  • NBA +44 pts n=17, ROI +51%
Weakest topicEsports −3 pts, n=70———
Settled positions, side won48% of 400 at avg 42¢, ROI +4%0% of 2 at avg 2¢, ROI +79%66% of 5040 at avg 62¢, ROI +11%84% of 44 at avg 43¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 22% of 113)100% (won 0% of 2)16% (won 12% of 794)14% (won 33% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 46% of 152)0%16% (won 35% of 788)39% (won 88% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 62% of 90)0%17% (won 66% of 870)48% (won 95% of 21)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 87% of 45)0%51% (won 92% of 2588)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.