PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5016c48436AB3eFA2Ab54b117d0C08fa1a4a1eEB-1778328420816imnice
Record (consensus markets)71% (392–161, n=553)86% (63–10, n=73)
Consensus PnL$64K$4.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #637was PM monthly #900
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won74% of 486 at avg 74¢, ROI +3%86% of 103 at avg 72¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 0% of 18)17% (won 39% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 44% of 32)9% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 65% of 117)6% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up66% (won 85% of 319)68% (won 100% of 70)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.