PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
segment3tennizPitter
Record (consensus markets)71% (5–2, n=7)85% (78–14, n=92)49% (225–232, n=457)
Consensus PnL$11K$136K$49K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #832PM monthly #323Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus75% (18 of 24 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Politics −5 pts, n=52
Settled positions, side won100% of 3 at avg 85¢, ROI +22%82% of 88 at avg 77¢, ROI +6%36% of 1019 at avg 34¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢0%8% (won 14% of 7)53% (won 6% of 545)
Entries 30–50¢0%10% (won 44% of 9)13% (won 50% of 136)
Entries 50–70¢0%17% (won 73% of 15)17% (won 65% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 3)65% (won 98% of 57)16% (won 92% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.