PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (376–433, n=809)95% (1081–60, n=1141)
Consensus PnL—$12K$42K
Tracked asPM monthly #921was PM monthly #1000Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Science −5 pts, n=11
Settled positions, side won—98% of 388 at avg 56¢, ROI +39%98% of 1366 at avg 95¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 86% of 21)1% (won 29% of 17)
Entries 30–50¢—28% (won 97% of 109)1% (won 69% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—44% (won 99% of 172)2% (won 80% of 30)
Entries 70¢ and up—22% (won 100% of 86)96% (won 99% of 1306)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.