PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
sneakysnake0xheavy8880xdeff55f3132a313985035c34539e94da7b9178f8Sisyphus-
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (3608–2722, n=6330)95% (246–12, n=258)95% (472–26, n=498)
Consensus PnL—$442K$128K$465K
Tracked asPM monthly #921Hand-pickedPM monthly #618PM monthly #144
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (62 of 93 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=1542——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 5252 at avg 55¢, ROI 0%97% of 304 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%99% of 675 at avg 59¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 8% of 520)6% (won 83% of 18)2% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 30–50¢—28% (won 43% of 1451)29% (won 97% of 88)25% (won 98% of 167)
Entries 50–70¢—38% (won 61% of 2005)63% (won 98% of 190)48% (won 99% of 324)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 83% of 1276)3% (won 100% of 8)25% (won 100% of 170)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.