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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| qizhan | jesterthegoose | NiNo999 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 80% (284–70, n=354) | 88% (488–65, n=553) | 67% (469–231, n=700) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $207K | $9.7M | $10.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #372 | was PM monthly #562 + pinned | was PM monthly #985 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 76% (53 of 70 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | |||
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −5 pts, n=12 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 80% of 579 at avg 79¢, ROI +3% | 90% of 502 at avg 50¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 471 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 14% (won 8% of 83) | 7% (won 81% of 37) | 11% (won 87% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 5% (won 39% of 28) | 39% (won 85% of 197) | 34% (won 98% of 162) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 5% (won 65% of 31) | 49% (won 94% of 244) | 33% (won 99% of 154) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 75% (won 97% of 437) | 5% (won 96% of 24) | 22% (won 100% of 103) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | qizhan | jesterthegoose | NiNo999 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | — | — | Yes $19K |