PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pvmaipspspsps50x77fa47189ddBA1eeFa3eA7d92a497e370807a23D-1776838051537RN1
Record (consensus markets)78% (21–6, n=27)63% (11398–6646, n=18044)51% (33–32, n=65)49% (9610–10110, n=19720)
Consensus PnL$13K$274K$25K$13.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #376PM monthly #557PM monthly #959Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 4 open)no open consensus position56% (18 of 32 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +39 pts n=7800, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 7800 at avg 61¢, ROI +37%69% of 29 at avg 34¢, ROI +42%93% of 20810 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—26% (won 100% of 1995)41% (won 58% of 12)10% (won 53% of 2181)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 100% of 988)34% (won 80% of 10)22% (won 94% of 4645)
Entries 50–70¢—14% (won 100% of 1083)21% (won 67% of 6)37% (won 99% of 7657)
Entries 70¢ and up—48% (won 100% of 3734)3% (won 100% of 1)30% (won 100% of 6327)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.