PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)78% (21–6, n=27)47% (224–250, n=474)63% (421–246, n=667)49% (9610–10110, n=19720)
Consensus PnL$13K$317K$75K$13.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #376was PM monthly #599was PM monthly #676Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)0% (0 of 3 open)56% (19 of 34 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +28 pts n=614, ROI +10%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—73% of 313 at avg 44¢, ROI +33%63% of 618 at avg 35¢, ROI +10%93% of 20810 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—24% (won 45% of 75)43% (won 40% of 266)10% (won 53% of 2181)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 76% of 111)33% (won 72% of 205)22% (won 94% of 4645)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 85% of 113)18% (won 92% of 110)37% (won 99% of 7657)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 100% of 14)6% (won 95% of 37)30% (won 100% of 6327)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.