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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN1sainttroplayScrip-scrip
Record (consensus markets)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13355–14864, n=28219)no settled market50% (3–3, n=6)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$14.8M—$33K
Tracked asPM monthly #48PM monthly #23 + pinned—PM monthly #699
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position62% (28 of 45 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—100% of 3 at avg 61¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)—0%
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)—0%
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)—100% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)—0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.