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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmRN1Sausesantana
Record (consensus markets)50% (1120–1127, n=2247)47% (14272–15777, n=30049)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$14.8M$20K
Tracked asPM monthly #51PM monthly #27 + pinnedPM monthly #461
Sides with the consensus38% (9 of 24 open)48% (32 of 66 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 1 at avg 80¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)0%
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5673)0%
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9163)0%
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)100% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmRN1Sausesantana
Spread: Arizona (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
TCU $7.6KArizona $621—
TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6.6KUnder $1.2K—
Spread: Arizona (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus TCU
TCU $2.0KArizona $788—
Spread: Arizona (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
TCU $1.4KArizona $1.1K—
Spread: New Mexico (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
Nevada $787New Mexico $1.5K—
Spread: Arizona (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
TCU $521Arizona $848—
Spread: New Mexico (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
Nevada $259New Mexico $701—
New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 35.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $142Under $671—
New Mexico vs. Nevada: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $187Under $516—
TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $332Over $1.3K—