← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| poshposh | LuckyWin | Bonereaper | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 88% (693–98, n=791) | 86% (43246–6849, n=50095) | 47% (125–143, n=268) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $29K | $14.9M | $19.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #999 | was PM monthly #579 | PM monthly #273 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (9 of 14 open) | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 63% (10 of 16 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −7 pts, n=48 | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=163 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 88% of 738 at avg 88¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 36616 at avg 67¢, ROI +24% | 50% of 1273 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 7% (won 8% of 48) | 4% (won 85% of 1370) | 0% (won 0% of 5) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 4% (won 44% of 32) | 16% (won 95% of 5840) | 42% (won 47% of 535) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 7% (won 56% of 48) | 35% (won 98% of 12695) | 57% (won 51% of 729) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 83% (won 99% of 610) | 46% (won 100% of 16711) | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | poshposh | LuckyWin | Bonereaper | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wild vs. Canucks same side · consensus Wild | Wild $198 | — | — | Wild $48K |
| Spread: Wild (-1.5) same side · consensus Canucks | Wild $29 | — | — | Wild $29K |