← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| poposub | 0xd1f5c3dda3fe8d21f592c5f4d241c69fa2e793f4 | twinna | allen114 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 57% (8–6, n=14) | 47% (75–84, n=159) | 82% (163–37, n=200) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $193 | $60K | $155K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #394 | PM monthly #790 | PM monthly #491 | was PM monthly #982 |
| Sides with the consensus | 36% (5 of 14 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (11 of 15 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NHL −7 pts, n=103 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 92% of 25 at avg 91¢, ROI +2% | 48% of 192 at avg 47¢, ROI +6% | 94% of 273 at avg 82¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 8% (won 50% of 2) | 18% (won 11% of 35) | 3% (won 43% of 7) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 0% | 38% (won 45% of 73) | 3% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 0% | 32% (won 60% of 62) | 16% (won 87% of 45) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 92% (won 96% of 23) | 11% (won 86% of 22) | 78% (won 98% of 213) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | poposub | 0xd1f5c3dda3fe8d21f592c5f4d241c69fa2e793f4 | twinna | allen114 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.7K | — | Yes $5.9K | — |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? same side · consensus No | No $9.1K | — | No $5.5K | — |