PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
poposub0xd1f5c3dda3fe8d21f592c5f4d241c69fa2e793f4TigerofthehoodGooooooollllllllll
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (8–6, n=14)92% (55–5, n=60)49% (847–879, n=1726)
Consensus PnL—$193$276K$572K
Tracked asPM monthly #394PM monthly #790was PM monthly #969 + pinnedPM monthly #141
Sides with the consensus36% (5 of 14 open)no open consensus position94% (16 of 17 open)38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Economy −1 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won—92% of 25 at avg 91¢, ROI +2%94% of 197 at avg 91¢, ROI +1%68% of 1156 at avg 46¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 50% of 2)1% (won 0% of 2)22% (won 24% of 250)
Entries 30–50¢—0%3% (won 33% of 6)34% (won 72% of 392)
Entries 50–70¢—0%5% (won 67% of 9)31% (won 84% of 362)
Entries 70¢ and up—92% (won 96% of 23)91% (won 98% of 180)13% (won 95% of 152)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketpoposub0xd1f5c3dda3fe8d21f592c5f4d241c69fa2e793f4TigerofthehoodGooooooollllllllll
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.7K—Yes $37K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
No $832—No $9.9K—