PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
poposubTheyAreTakingTheHobitsToIsengardParkan312
Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (136–7, n=143)82% (202–43, n=245)
Consensus PnL—$476K$31K
Tracked asPM monthly #388was PM monthly #149was PM monthly #997
Sides with the consensus36% (5 of 14 open)50% (2 of 4 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +32 pts n=74, ROI +25%
  • MLB +45 pts n=10, ROI +35%
  • Esports +31 pts n=21, ROI +27%
Weakest topic——NHL −7 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won—99% of 147 at avg 66¢, ROI +37%50% of 142 at avg 39¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢—0%35% (won 29% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 96% of 23)37% (won 48% of 52)
Entries 50–70¢—44% (won 100% of 64)20% (won 72% of 29)
Entries 70¢ and up—41% (won 100% of 60)8% (won 92% of 12)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.