PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (36–38, n=74)86% (43246–6849, n=50095)67% (469–231, n=700)
Consensus PnL—$27K$14.9M$10.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #878was PM monthly #851PM monthly #273PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position57% (8 of 14 open)76% (53 of 70 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +40 pts n=127, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +32 pts n=36486, ROI +24%
  • NFL +50 pts n=107, ROI +51%
  • NBA +50 pts n=49, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=272, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—89% of 38 at avg 52¢, ROI +32%98% of 36616 at avg 67¢, ROI +24%97% of 471 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 0% of 1)4% (won 85% of 1370)11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 83% of 12)16% (won 95% of 5840)34% (won 98% of 162)
Entries 50–70¢—66% (won 96% of 25)35% (won 98% of 12695)33% (won 99% of 154)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%46% (won 100% of 16711)22% (won 100% of 103)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.