PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pkmgoh92yen4u0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710Parkan312
Record (consensus markets)no settled market91% (654–64, n=718)49% (1213–1271, n=2484)82% (202–43, n=245)
Consensus PnL—$67K$60K$31K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #771PM monthly #596Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #997
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position89% (42 of 47 open)25% (3 of 12 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Politics −6 pts, n=74NHL −7 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won—94% of 613 at avg 90¢, ROI +3%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%50% of 142 at avg 39¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 26% of 27)24% (won 19% of 254)35% (won 29% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 57% of 14)23% (won 40% of 241)37% (won 48% of 52)
Entries 50–70¢—5% (won 80% of 30)29% (won 70% of 304)20% (won 72% of 29)
Entries 70¢ and up—88% (won 99% of 542)24% (won 89% of 250)8% (won 92% of 12)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.