PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ogwienyMustafa112233440x0945A88cCf387E296785F071F725e4dc01dFb9bd-1772195461282
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (55–56, n=111)47% (15–17, n=32)
Consensus PnL—$21K$9.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #978was PM monthly #781was PM monthly #817
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +11 pts n=26, ROI +20%
  • MLB +3 pts n=50, ROI +6%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won83% of 30 at avg 58¢, ROI +21%56% of 89 at avg 51¢, ROI +12%100% of 14 at avg 33¢, ROI +70%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 17% of 6)1% (won 100% of 1)43% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 100% of 3)43% (won 55% of 38)50% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 100% of 8)56% (won 56% of 50)7% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 100% of 13)0%0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.