PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (29907–19650, n=49557)66% (102–52, n=154)65% (34–18, n=52)
Consensus PnL—$94K$29K$224K
Tracked asPM monthly #929PM monthly #350was PM monthly #995was PM monthly #403
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (12 of 15 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +38 pts n=13935, ROI +28%
  • Soccer +36 pts n=38, ROI +34%
  • NBA +24 pts n=21, ROI +7%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 13953 at avg 61¢, ROI +28%83% of 140 at avg 51¢, ROI +37%77% of 78 at avg 45¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 98% of 465)2% (won 33% of 3)6% (won 20% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—46% (won 100% of 6358)44% (won 75% of 61)73% (won 86% of 57)
Entries 50–70¢—20% (won 100% of 2743)48% (won 91% of 67)21% (won 63% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 4387)6% (won 89% of 9)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.