PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nz7EsperanzasDESTROYER0x8c954010a6edf997aa05835f63c798b33e8f00femaiqiuyangjia
Record (consensus markets)no settled market61% (46–29, n=75)60% (3–2, n=5)65% (34–18, n=52)
Consensus PnL—$14K$511$224K
Tracked asPM monthly #929was PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #1000was PM monthly #403
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (4 of 5 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +36 pts n=38, ROI +34%
  • NBA +24 pts n=21, ROI +7%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—80% of 35 at avg 45¢, ROI +18%0% of 3 at avg 2¢, ROI +80%77% of 78 at avg 45¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—31% (won 73% of 11)100% (won 0% of 3)6% (won 20% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 57% of 7)0%73% (won 86% of 57)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 90% of 10)0%21% (won 63% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 7)0%0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.