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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:wr0ngw4yb3tt0rGoalLineGhost0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-17663175411880xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592RN1NiNo999
| nortman17 | flow-trader-at-optiver | 0xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 59% (505–349, n=854) | 89% (382–46, n=428) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $27K | -$38K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #368 | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #993 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 71% (17 of 24 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Weather −3 pts, n=104 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 91% of 3828 at avg 87¢, ROI +3% | 91% of 737 at avg 92¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 8% (won 22% of 292) | 1% (won 50% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 3% (won 65% of 122) | 1% (won 25% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 4% (won 80% of 171) | 3% (won 64% of 25) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 85% (won 99% of 3243) | 95% (won 93% of 700) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.