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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1BreakTheBank0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph006770xfe78…0319primm
| ndb1 | pizzabillgates | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 100% (4–0, n=4) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | -$33K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #99 | PM monthly #749 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 76% (26 of 34 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 50% of 8 at avg 40¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 50% (won 0% of 4) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 13% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 38% (won 100% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | pizzabillgates |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.9K | Yes $7.3K |