← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| musicenthusiast | beachboy4 | pleaseplease123 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (338–249, n=587) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 49% (346–353, n=699) | 46% (131–154, n=285) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $5.8M | $3.2M | $19.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #989 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #92 | was PM monthly #715 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (11 of 20 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Esports −8 pts, n=25 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 |
| Settled positions, side won | 45% of 216 at avg 41¢, ROI +8% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 24% of 63) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 0% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 35% of 85) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 42% (won 46% of 565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 74% of 42) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 57% (won 51% of 766) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 12% (won 85% of 26) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 0% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.