PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
montoya42UpTheBluesMEPP0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (13315–14249, n=27564)65% (345–184, n=529)88% (35–5, n=40)
Consensus PnL—$1.4M$557K$1.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #709PM monthly #7was PM monthly #959 + pinnedwas PM monthly #77
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (11 of 17 open)79% (65 of 82 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=851, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=58, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=33, ROI +64%
Weakest topic——Entertainment −18 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 27853 at avg 65¢, ROI +38%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%100% of 32 at avg 55¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 99% of 1952)20% (won 14% of 151)0%
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 100% of 6322)11% (won 34% of 82)47% (won 100% of 15)
Entries 50–70¢—25% (won 100% of 6857)19% (won 66% of 144)31% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up—46% (won 100% of 12722)51% (won 93% of 390)22% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.