PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
montoya42e333eMEPPRockyZet
Record (consensus markets)no settled market80% (8–2, n=10)65% (345–184, n=529)64% (179–99, n=278)
Consensus PnL—$6.3K$557K$100K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #709was PM monthly #636was PM monthly #959 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position79% (65 of 82 open)100% (8 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Entertainment −18 pts, n=11Elections ±0 pts, n=101
Settled positions, side won—70% of 10 at avg 58¢, ROI +17%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%65% of 354 at avg 63¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—0%20% (won 14% of 151)30% (won 10% of 106)
Entries 30–50¢—30% (won 67% of 3)11% (won 34% of 82)6% (won 32% of 22)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 60% of 5)19% (won 66% of 144)6% (won 57% of 23)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 2)51% (won 93% of 390)57% (won 98% of 203)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketmontoya42e333eMEPPRockyZet
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.8KNo $19K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.3KNo $4.1K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.2KNo $19K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $9.3KYes $52