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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| montoya42 | jesterthegoose | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | texaskid | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 80% (284–70, n=354) | 47% (125–143, n=268) | 66% (367–187, n=554) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $207K | $19.3M | $7.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #709 | was PM monthly #562 + pinned | was PM monthly #715 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | Elections −5 pts, n=12 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=163 | College Basketball ±0 pts, n=29 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 80% of 579 at avg 79¢, ROI +3% | 50% of 1273 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 75% of 566 at avg 53¢, ROI +19% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 14% (won 8% of 83) | 0% (won 0% of 5) | 1% (won 0% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 5% (won 39% of 28) | 42% (won 47% of 535) | 26% (won 68% of 148) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 5% (won 65% of 31) | 57% (won 51% of 729) | 69% (won 78% of 392) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 75% (won 97% of 437) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 4% (won 87% of 23) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.