PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
montoya420xaBea08725590a4C6Ae7c8E63214C9628BbC772AE-17814318730180xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd140PatienceCapital
Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (88–49, n=137)88% (35–5, n=40)47% (40–46, n=86)
Consensus PnL—$61K$1.2M$475K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #709PM monthly #309was PM monthly #77was PM monthly #269
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +39 pts n=57, ROI +32%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=45, ROI +3%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=12, ROI +23%
  • Soccer +46 pts n=24, ROI +43%
  • NBA +44 pts n=17, ROI +51%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—79% of 120 at avg 46¢, ROI +20%100% of 32 at avg 55¢, ROI +40%84% of 44 at avg 43¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 36% of 14)0%14% (won 33% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—33% (won 72% of 39)47% (won 100% of 15)39% (won 88% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢—55% (won 92% of 66)31% (won 100% of 10)48% (won 95% of 21)
Entries 70¢ and up—1% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 100% of 7)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.