PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
JugarnomoredreamebateldotiQtyu
Record (consensus markets)58% (218–159, n=377)65% (226–122, n=348)65% (135–73, n=208)93% (239–18, n=257)
Consensus PnL$58K$48K$14K$152K
Tracked asPM monthly #349PM monthly #543PM monthly #672was PM monthly #232 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———Mentions −7 pts, n=23
Settled positions, side won58% of 354 at avg 54¢, ROI +4%76% of 345 at avg 67¢, ROI +8%77% of 176 at avg 65¢, ROI +7%96% of 256 at avg 95¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 20% of 64)10% (won 9% of 35)9% (won 33% of 15)0% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 45% of 105)10% (won 36% of 33)15% (won 48% of 27)1% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 67% of 86)25% (won 74% of 86)34% (won 75% of 59)1% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 89% of 99)55% (won 96% of 191)43% (won 97% of 75)98% (won 97% of 250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.