PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
JoeBlack010x39dec86bf03744359f839071cdd9a7d1adce7a1dNe8omSatanishippie
Record (consensus markets)59% (291–202, n=493)89% (25–3, n=28)49% (133–138, n=271)49% (320–335, n=655)
Consensus PnL$73K$12K-$36K-$105K
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #999PM monthly #372was PM monthly #917
Sides with the consensus61% (20 of 33 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +46 pts n=118, ROI +43%
Weakest topicCrypto −5 pts, n=48———
Settled positions, side won69% of 614 at avg 60¢, ROI +5%84% of 25 at avg 61¢, ROI +19%100% of 118 at avg 54¢, ROI +43%83% of 384 at avg 56¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 12% of 140)12% (won 67% of 3)6% (won 100% of 7)2% (won 44% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 47% of 81)16% (won 75% of 4)33% (won 100% of 39)21% (won 73% of 80)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 78% of 86)40% (won 90% of 10)45% (won 100% of 53)67% (won 86% of 257)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 97% of 307)32% (won 88% of 8)16% (won 100% of 19)10% (won 89% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.