PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
JoeBlack01fantasticskibubananabeautifulobsession
Record (consensus markets)59% (291–202, n=493)67% (2–1, n=3)68% (65–31, n=96)67% (87–43, n=130)
Consensus PnL$73K$23K$159K$100K
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #505was PM monthly #936PM monthly #322
Sides with the consensus61% (20 of 33 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicCrypto −5 pts, n=48———
Settled positions, side won69% of 614 at avg 60¢, ROI +5%67% of 3 at avg 50¢, ROI +29%74% of 87 at avg 47¢, ROI +33%68% of 130 at avg 61¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 12% of 140)0%8% (won 71% of 7)3% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 47% of 81)33% (won 100% of 1)52% (won 67% of 45)22% (won 43% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 78% of 86)67% (won 50% of 2)34% (won 80% of 30)41% (won 68% of 53)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 97% of 307)0%6% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 89% of 45)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.