PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
luckycat8888880x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-17706582427100xe98c6194374418b1d1b27321f025bd64ac2c8792
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1213–1271, n=2484)92% (213–18, n=231)
Consensus PnL—$60K$434K
Tracked asPM monthly #897Hand-pickedPM monthly #921
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position31% (4 of 13 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Politics −6 pts, n=74—
Settled positions, side won100% of 3 at avg 48¢, ROI +55%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%98% of 335 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢0%24% (won 19% of 254)3% (won 90% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 100% of 1)23% (won 40% of 241)36% (won 98% of 120)
Entries 50–70¢67% (won 100% of 2)29% (won 70% of 304)59% (won 98% of 197)
Entries 70¢ and up0%24% (won 89% of 250)2% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.