PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (8–6, n=14)47% (75–84, n=159)49% (847–879, n=1726)
Consensus PnL—$193$60K$572K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #894PM monthly #790PM monthly #491PM monthly #141
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position73% (11 of 15 open)38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NHL −7 pts, n=103—
Settled positions, side won—92% of 25 at avg 91¢, ROI +2%48% of 192 at avg 47¢, ROI +6%68% of 1156 at avg 46¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 50% of 2)18% (won 11% of 35)22% (won 24% of 250)
Entries 30–50¢—0%38% (won 45% of 73)34% (won 72% of 392)
Entries 50–70¢—0%32% (won 60% of 62)31% (won 84% of 362)
Entries 70¢ and up—92% (won 96% of 23)11% (won 86% of 22)13% (won 95% of 152)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.