PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (3351–2542, n=5893)92% (213–18, n=231)
Consensus PnL—$195K$434K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #894PM monthly #120PM monthly #921
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 3066 at avg 48¢, ROI +48%98% of 335 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 100% of 226)3% (won 90% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢—55% (won 100% of 1675)36% (won 98% of 120)
Entries 50–70¢—32% (won 100% of 967)59% (won 98% of 197)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 99% of 198)2% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.