PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (224–250, n=474)92% (55–5, n=60)89% (47–6, n=53)
Consensus PnL—$317K$276K$65K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #894was PM monthly #599was PM monthly #969 + pinnedPM monthly #271
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position94% (16 of 17 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Economy −1 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won—73% of 313 at avg 44¢, ROI +33%94% of 197 at avg 91¢, ROI +1%90% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—24% (won 45% of 75)1% (won 0% of 2)0%
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 76% of 111)3% (won 33% of 6)22% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 85% of 113)5% (won 67% of 9)68% (won 100% of 28)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 100% of 14)91% (won 98% of 180)10% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.