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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| liriks | DreamingKIng | 123987456 | tradecraft | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 89% (47–6, n=53) | 49% (1341–1423, n=2764) | 49% (2015–2122, n=4137) |
| Consensus PnL | — | -$24K | $54K | $912K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #388 | PM monthly #664 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #293 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 57% (33 of 58 open) | 25% (2 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Tech −2 pts, n=168 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 67% of 6 at avg 92¢, ROI −80% | 52% of 2491 at avg 50¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 2284 at avg 50¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 42% (won 4% of 1054) | 31% (won 10% of 707) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 0% | 7% (won 47% of 177) | 18% (won 47% of 401) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 0% | 7% (won 69% of 167) | 19% (won 77% of 426) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 100% (won 67% of 6) | 44% (won 95% of 1093) | 33% (won 96% of 750) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | liriks | DreamingKIng | 123987456 | tradecraft |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Cajamarca win on 2026-10-25? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $20 | Yes $19 |