PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
liriks0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945rated
Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (550–28, n=578)46% (224–264, n=488)
Consensus PnL—$1.0M-$1.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #979was PM monthly #957Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position41% (12 of 29 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——MLB −2 pts, n=17
Settled positions, side won—98% of 846 at avg 72¢, ROI +33%98% of 5149 at avg 92¢, ROI −32%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 85% of 20)5% (won 75% of 271)
Entries 30–50¢—10% (won 97% of 88)1% (won 66% of 65)
Entries 50–70¢—22% (won 97% of 187)2% (won 90% of 100)
Entries 70¢ and up—65% (won 99% of 551)92% (won 100% of 4713)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.