PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
korandnikhi774cStakesForFun
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (3351–2542, n=5893)59% (160–110, n=270)
Consensus PnL—$195K$106K
Tracked asPM monthly #711PM monthly #120PM monthly #186
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (4 of 6 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won90% of 69 at avg 62¢, ROI +31%100% of 3066 at avg 48¢, ROI +48%62% of 341 at avg 60¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 33% of 3)7% (won 100% of 226)8% (won 4% of 28)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 93% of 15)55% (won 100% of 1675)24% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 87% of 23)32% (won 100% of 967)37% (won 64% of 126)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 96% of 28)6% (won 99% of 198)31% (won 95% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.