PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
korandnik0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710rogerveer
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1213–1271, n=2484)47% (20–23, n=43)
Consensus PnL—$60K-$14K
Tracked asPM monthly #711Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #859
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position31% (4 of 13 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—Politics −6 pts, n=74—
Settled positions, side won90% of 69 at avg 62¢, ROI +31%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%95% of 22 at avg 56¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 33% of 3)24% (won 19% of 254)0%
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 93% of 15)23% (won 40% of 241)23% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 87% of 23)29% (won 70% of 304)68% (won 93% of 15)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 96% of 28)24% (won 89% of 250)9% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.