PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
korandnik0xd14650532E11324cdaca20f45666486c24679Bf0-1758702953678twinnaGooooooollllllllll
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (384–392, n=776)47% (75–84, n=159)49% (847–879, n=1726)
Consensus PnL—$293K$60K$572K
Tracked asPM monthly #711was PM monthly #997PM monthly #491PM monthly #141
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position73% (11 of 15 open)38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +18 pts n=708, ROI +17%
Weakest topic——NHL −7 pts, n=103—
Settled positions, side won90% of 69 at avg 62¢, ROI +31%56% of 710 at avg 37¢, ROI +17%48% of 192 at avg 47¢, ROI +6%68% of 1156 at avg 46¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 33% of 3)29% (won 30% of 206)18% (won 11% of 35)22% (won 24% of 250)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 93% of 15)47% (won 65% of 334)38% (won 45% of 73)34% (won 72% of 392)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 87% of 23)24% (won 68% of 170)32% (won 60% of 62)31% (won 84% of 362)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 96% of 28)0%11% (won 86% of 22)13% (won 95% of 152)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.