PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (224–250, n=474)92% (55–5, n=60)49% (847–879, n=1726)
Consensus PnL—$317K$276K$572K
Tracked asPM monthly #711was PM monthly #599was PM monthly #969 + pinnedPM monthly #141
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position94% (16 of 17 open)38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——Economy −1 pts, n=11—
Settled positions, side won90% of 69 at avg 62¢, ROI +31%73% of 313 at avg 44¢, ROI +33%94% of 197 at avg 91¢, ROI +1%68% of 1156 at avg 46¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 33% of 3)24% (won 45% of 75)1% (won 0% of 2)22% (won 24% of 250)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 93% of 15)35% (won 76% of 111)3% (won 33% of 6)34% (won 72% of 392)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 87% of 23)36% (won 85% of 113)5% (won 67% of 9)31% (won 84% of 362)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 96% of 28)4% (won 100% of 14)91% (won 98% of 180)13% (won 95% of 152)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.