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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677Pondermint
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)68% (348–167, n=515)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$138K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #384
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (5 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +8 pts n=23, ROI +9%
Weakest topic—MLB −2 pts, n=87
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%68% of 446 at avg 70¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)14% (won 10% of 62)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)11% (won 32% of 50)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)11% (won 61% of 51)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)63% (won 89% of 283)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.