PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
izcikagamoji0xc33a100b8362bc732e78cce28c99739f173b3da30b1Ahpo
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (179–23, n=202)89% (211–26, n=237)95% (1530–85, n=1615)
Consensus PnL—$474K$95K$124K
Tracked asPM monthly #492was PM monthly #974was PM monthly #826was PM monthly #861
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (13 of 13 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +52 pts n=40, ROI +55%
  • MLB +48 pts n=75, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +51 pts n=32, ROI +49%
Weakest topic——Tennis −2 pts, n=107—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 232 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%90% of 225 at avg 90¢, ROI +1%92% of 1836 at avg 88¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 100% of 20)0%5% (won 14% of 97)
Entries 30–50¢—40% (won 99% of 93)1% (won 0% of 2)3% (won 60% of 55)
Entries 50–70¢—47% (won 100% of 110)4% (won 25% of 8)6% (won 67% of 102)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 100% of 9)96% (won 93% of 215)86% (won 99% of 1582)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.