PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market87% (516–77, n=593)67% (28–14, n=42)
Consensus PnL—$759K$149K
Tracked asPM monthly #557was PM monthly #735PM monthly #440
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Esports +42 pts n=292, ROI +40%
  • MLB +42 pts n=89, ROI +41%
  • Tennis +27 pts n=182, ROI +34%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 55¢, ROI +45%90% of 709 at avg 56¢, ROI +38%58% of 36 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0%2% (won 58% of 12)36% (won 23% of 13)
Entries 30–50¢0%23% (won 87% of 166)8% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 100% of 1)66% (won 91% of 465)33% (won 67% of 12)
Entries 70¢ and up0%9% (won 94% of 66)22% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.