PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
hammyandcheesee333erocroiMEPP
Record (consensus markets)no settled market80% (8–2, n=10)67% (28–14, n=42)65% (345–184, n=529)
Consensus PnL—$6.3K$149K$557K
Tracked asPM monthly #736was PM monthly #636PM monthly #460was PM monthly #959 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)79% (65 of 82 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +23 pts n=21, ROI +30%
  • NBA +9 pts n=161, ROI +13%
  • NFL +19 pts n=23, ROI +10%
Weakest topicMLB −27 pts, n=11——Entertainment −18 pts, n=11
Settled positions, side won60% of 508 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%70% of 10 at avg 58¢, ROI +17%58% of 36 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 36% of 11)0%36% (won 23% of 13)20% (won 14% of 151)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 46% of 149)30% (won 67% of 3)8% (won 67% of 3)11% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 65% of 303)50% (won 60% of 5)33% (won 67% of 12)19% (won 66% of 144)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 84% of 45)20% (won 100% of 2)22% (won 100% of 8)51% (won 93% of 390)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.